• Blackmist@feddit.uk
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    54 minutes ago

    Time for the four stage strategy:

    Stage 1: Nothing’s going to happen.

    Stage 2: Something may be going to happen but we should do nothing about it.

    Stage 3: Maybe we should do something about it, but there’s nothing we can do.

    Stage 4: Maybe there was something we could’ve done, but it’s too late now.

    I reckon we’re about at stage 3 on this one. Still, at least us Europeans won’t have to put up with any more heatwaves.

  • grue@lemmy.world
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    13 hours ago

    I’ve been saying it’s imminent for a while now, because I’ve been seeing studies about this come out for years and it seems like every one revises the estimate to be earlier.

  • zifk@sh.itjust.works
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    15 hours ago

    “In a study that has yet to undergo peer review…” tells you all you need to be concerned about for right now. AMOC is a very complex phenomenon and not easy at all to model. All conclusions should be properly vetted before becoming actual news.

    • abc@suppo.fi
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      35 minutes ago

      But it’s amazing for clickwhoring. A lot of value.

    • Derpenheim@lemmy.zip
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      11 hours ago

      The AMOC has been in a lot of trouble for years now. Ironically, it was the cleaning up of shipping cargo oil that may have put the final nail. We stopped using a fuel that emitted SO2 into the atmosphere, but that SO2 actually ended up as a sort of shielding from the full effects of the greenhouse effect happening elsewhere over the Atlantic. Without it, temperatures this year and last year absolutely soared

      • zifk@sh.itjust.works
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        5 hours ago

        Oh definitely, there’s a lot of troubling outcomes and I’m glad the research is being done. I just think news reporting on unreviewed results is good for nothing other than fear mongering. And it’s not like that has been effective for other consequences of climate change. Giving people more reasons to ‘give up’ won’t help solve problems.

    • abbadon420@sh.itjust.works
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      15 hours ago

      Nah… this is 2026! You can just say things now! Go back to the 90’s with your scientific integrity, party pooper.

    • NeilNuggetstrong@lemmy.world
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      10 hours ago

      In my groundbreaking (yet to be peer reviewed) research, Ive found evidence of the Moon being 98% Gouda cheese. The remaining 2% is actually avocado toast

    • cecilkorik@lemmy.ca
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      12 hours ago

      Are we going to end up with North American monsoon season or the Great North American Desert? Or maybe both at the same time! I’m so excited for all the novelty the climate future holds.

    • AA5B@lemmy.world
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      14 hours ago

      No one is going to care: it’s more long term than climate change and much harder to conceptualize

      Once we’ve stopped the drivers for the current, the water has the inertia to keep moving for a century or more. This not only won’t affect us, but won’t affect our children or grandchildren. People are really bad with such long time periods

      • floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        2 hours ago

        Once we’ve stopped the drivers for the current, the water has the inertia to keep moving for a century or more.

        You should stop listening to whoever told you this. It makes absolutely no sense.

        This not only won’t affect us, but won’t affect our children or grandchildren

        Bro, just look around.

  • tal@lemmy.today
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    16 hours ago

    Reducing emissions as swiftly as possible will be essential to prevent AMOC collapse and other catastrophic impacts of climate change.

    1000009404

    https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/06/europe/russia-fuel-crisis-ukraine-drone-attacks-intl-vis

    Almost every Russian region hit by fuel crisis, as Ukraine escalates drone attacks

    https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/07/middleeast/hormuz-tanker-iran-attack-intl-hnk

    Iran strikes three vessels near Strait of Hormuz as Trump arrives at NATO summit

    • GreenBeard@lemmy.ca
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      15 hours ago

      It’s ironic that our tendency for senseless violence may be the only thing that saves us from our tendency for ruinous unchecked greed and gluttony.

    • zd9@lemmy.world
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      15 hours ago

      How hilarious would it be if humanity averted the very worst effects of climate change purely through dumb, hateful war? I’m very well aware we’re fucked as we’re likely headed towards the SSP3 to SSP7 projections, but maybe all these wars will escalate to the point that we avoid SSP7+

    • Victor@lemmy.world
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      15 hours ago

      I think it’s already too late. It’s already showing the same signs of collapse as the latest simulations, and in real life it’s showing these signs an order of magnitude faster than in the simulations (decades instead of centuries).

  • zd9@lemmy.world
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    15 hours ago

    AMOC is extremely important because it spreads nutrients north and mixes cool water in the south, and its collapse will lead to extreme droughts in some areas, floods in others, extreme cold in others, and extreme heat in others, which will lead to agriculture collapse and food security issues, leading to more wars and migration, leading to even more wars, etc.

  • Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml
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    15 hours ago

    Next they’ll tell me that Antarctic sea ice is past the point of no return! Make up your minds climate nerds!