I am guessing that Mexico and Canada might be the winners from this in a couple of decades. If they enter a conflict together against the USA during a civil war, they can potentially annex a fair bit of territory. Plus, many world powers would likely support that fight - it is an opportunity to give a black eye and remove the US from the world stage.
The government would start an external war before it would let a civil war happen. Just like Germany, its likely the world will need to come together to stop the US.
Nobody in North America is going to be a winner from this. It’s going to be chaos. A lot of productive capacity that could otherwise have been used to make useful things or provide useful services is instead going to have to be spent on preventing the chaos in the US from spilling over the border.
I also don’t think Canada or Mexico would want to annex territory. Annexing requires a strong military to hold the territory, and neither Canada nor Mexico has a strong military. What’s more likely IMO is that there’s some kind of a civil war and the US is split into multiple smaller sovereign states. After the dust settles, some will be on great relations with Canada and Mexico. Others will be isolated states that are closely tied to Russia or Saudi Arabia or something.
I am guessing that Mexico and Canada might be the winners from this in a couple of decades. If they enter a conflict together against the USA during a civil war, they can potentially annex a fair bit of territory. Plus, many world powers would likely support that fight - it is an opportunity to give a black eye and remove the US from the world stage.
The government would start an external war before it would let a civil war happen. Just like Germany, its likely the world will need to come together to stop the US.
“let a civil war happen” - I don’t think you understand what a civil war is.
Can’t have a civil war if we are too busy attacking our neighbors.
Nobody in North America is going to be a winner from this. It’s going to be chaos. A lot of productive capacity that could otherwise have been used to make useful things or provide useful services is instead going to have to be spent on preventing the chaos in the US from spilling over the border.
I also don’t think Canada or Mexico would want to annex territory. Annexing requires a strong military to hold the territory, and neither Canada nor Mexico has a strong military. What’s more likely IMO is that there’s some kind of a civil war and the US is split into multiple smaller sovereign states. After the dust settles, some will be on great relations with Canada and Mexico. Others will be isolated states that are closely tied to Russia or Saudi Arabia or something.
The US is famous for its advanced weapons but those depend on massive supply chains all over the country.
They can’t even supply Ukraine with artillery shells.
All the factories the US had to spin up in their last conventional war are gone and are the people who knew how to run them and work them.
A civil conflict would be pretty short unless an external power started supplying one side with arms.
And nobody would do that, of course…