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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 9th, 2023

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  • Did musk claim to be working toward AGI? I hadn’t heard that but I also stopped paying attention.

    I can see his logic for Optimus. Personal robots were a 1960s dream of the future, just like electric cars. He had perfect timing to scale up to the first affordable, compelling electric cars, and disrupt that market. He had perfect timing to scale up 1960s style self-landing rockets and disrupt that market. Now you look at what Boston Dynamics and similar can do, so maybe the timing is right for humanoid robots to suddenly hit the big times! Personally I’m skeptical because there is no market but also I think that dream faded. Why would I want a personal humanoid robot when we have dirt cheap Roombas, drones, 3d printing? Why would anyone want a humanoid robot for manufacturing when real automation will always be faster? So we’re down to Amazon distribution centers? Who’s the remaining market here?

    And Grok makes sense from the perspective of desperately trying to get self-driving to happen, and to make the robot work, and maybe he even wants to compete with Alexa, etc.

    But LLMs are not a path toward AGI. Neither is the neural bet that drives the cars.




  • I started watching YouTube in the last year after successfully withstanding it all this time. I make at least some effort to protect my data with mixed results.

    But the algorithms has decided what it wants to show me. And yes it includes a large category of revenge against militant feminists. They’re clearly ai slop and entirely fiction. But I have watched some (which means I got more 🙁) and I do like a good case of karma

    So yes, there is significant ongoing effort to paint the term “feminist” into the worst case scenario. If you keep watching that, it will affect you

    …… and I have to figure out how to make the algorithms the work for me. Unfortunately that probably means giving away more personal data, including truthful data, so you can’t win



  • Sure but it’s reasonable to say it’s too early.

    My company is one example of a paying customer. Someone is earning a significant amount of recurring revenue from us as a customer. This is something new this year

    Those providing companies had better be looking at the usual

    • new customer rates
    • income growth
    • investment
    • forecasts of profitability

    While we have no information as to whether they are properly looking at it from a business perspective, it’s reasonable.

    Presumably the forecasts are insane, as the only way to make sense of that. But time is the solution. Business people are looking at the numbers going up over time: that reality will fix insane forecasts. The bubble will burst when the business people get hit in the face with that reality.




  • Anti-feminist propaganda is a real thing. As a guy I like to think I’m fairly progressive but believed a lot of the hate against feminism even as an adult. The women I knew were “the good ones”.

    The thing is it was based on caricatures of feminism, outliers and extremists, and the claim that feminism is no longer necessary. I’m sure those extremists exists and we are closer to gender equality than historically but feminism has helped us all and we do need more of it.

    We had children before there was any paternity leave in the US. I must have been complaining that I wished I could spend more time with my newborn, but it was the feminist group at work who went to demand there be paternity leave, because equal is equal and paternity leave helps everyone




  • Perhaps they can invest in additional power transmission and clean generation.

    Never thought I’d say this but for my area apparently it’s the Jones’s Act. Here in New England as we shut down coal and nuclear we were never able to get natural gas pipelines. Now that there are better options our attempts to build power distribution lines keep getting blocked. Our offshore wind farms keep getting blocked. We’re stuck on natural gas but without a pipeline we’re stuck importing LNG by ship and because of the Jones Act and there being no American built LNG ships, the only choice is importing from other countries

    Let us build our wind farms. Help coordinate with other states so we can build long distance power lines to our buddies in Ontario

    The datacenter bubble is a Republican chance to platform energy independence, cheap and available energy. Build more businesses, help the economy …. Let’s create solar and wind incentives to speed that up and let’s go gangbusters on power distribution to make America great.

    Forget these natural gas turbines on a five year back order. Are they made in American? I didn’t think so. Time to go gangbuster on solar where most of the cost is local labor




  • Of the boomers I know

    • one neighbor was a spiteful asshole, the other not
    • my ex’s father is a fairly liberal vet
    • my exs mother is not just liberal but is still at her age motivated by how much she can help people working at social services
    • my mom is the most liberal in our family and frequently argues with my conservative brother



  • The problem is it’s not really people’s choice. Companies have gotten very good at disguising quality tradoffs and marketing has got very good at muddying the waters.

    Since this is about tools, I’ll bring up Craftsman as an example. For many years, it was a quality brand accessible to homeowners. But as they changed to be cheaper they still marketed themselves as a quality brand and they seemed like the same price. It was only after the brand value was destroyed, that it became clear how “cheap” the tools had become and people were able to make a legitimate decision to move on