boss > yeah I know we got bombed monday and wednesday but you are still scheduled thursday friday
worker > is there a factory floor me to work on
boss > don’t worry about the details
worker > wait can’t they just bomb the same factory the same way again?
boss > what did I just tell you
the Russian War Machine right now
mines detected
Let me re-emphasize here to clarify some other comments I have made, with what main battle tanks and armored fighting vehicles will Putin do so with?
While Russia is beginning to produce T90 tanks at a decent rate producing tanks is inherently a slow business to be in and Russia needs to restock its basic supply of tanks before it even thinks about an actual, honest real armored offensive again. Russia also seems to producing its current armored vehicles at a rate that somewhat replaces them one for one with vehicles lost on the battlefield (which is only maintaining an already critical lack of armored vehicles for them) but Ukranians should rejoice if they keep doing that because their armored fighting vehicle armor fucking sucks especially against skilled FPV pilots like Ukraine has and artillery like Ukraine has. Even when Russia fields main battle tanks with heavy armor they rarely at a basic level extend that grace of protection to the infantry carrying armored vehicles.
The Bradley IFV demolishes their armored fighting vehicles, it makes Russian tankers think twice, Europe has other counterparts that are similarly effective and… Russia for the most part doesn’t and if Russia does with some of their BMPs there is a very small chance that the armor crews and associated nearby infantry, artillery and air support are trained at all about how to support them in a way they can be used decisively. Most of those Russian armor veterans with that experience are probably long long long long dead because the armor on the vehicles they were ordered to use again sucks. When your armored fighting vehicle crews don’t survive engagements and they have to keep fighting against armored fighting vehicle crews that do (even if their vehicles don’t), it is a losing proposition on every level.
You can argue in a defensive war that Ukraine doesn’t have an advantage here because armor is for assaulting not defending, but that is misunderstanding the basic role of armor especially “tank killers” as they were referred to in WW2. When an enemy inveitably makes a decisive breakthrough in your front lines through application of overwhelming force (artillery) and number, the speed with which your forces can move to contain the breakthrough determines whether the situation becomes a strategic defeat. Armor allows friendly Ukranian forces to decisively smash Russian breakthroughs in the Ukranian frontline from the sides while minimizing the hazards that would come from being forced to truck a similar amount of infantry unprotected in normal military trucks blindly at the Russian assault force and hoping that your scouts see them before they see you… or just hoping the Russians can’t exploit the opening the inherent slowness of friendly infantry moving over hostile terrain creates.
Russia’s poor performance has likely been caused by several factors: the Russian military’s reliance on dismounted infantry and mechanized forces to take Ukrainian territory, Russia’s failure to use operational fires in a coordinated way that enables maneuver, and Ukraine’s effective utilization of defense in depth.
…
Changes in the Russian-to-Ukrainian fighting vehicles loss ratio underscore the growing inefficiency of Moscow’s invasion. In early 2024, Russia experienced loss ratios higher than those it suffered during its initial 2022 invasion in exchange for only a fraction of the territorial gains. Russia’s offensives since January 2024 have yielded only marginal territorial gains but consistently suffered unfavorable loss ratios. The disparity points to the challenge of attempting repeated frontal assaults into well-prepared defenses and Russia’s reliance on mass rather than maneuver. Russia has attempted to offset these losses by greatly increasing its domestic defense production and supplementing with foreign supplies, including from China, Iran, and North Korea
Although the Kremlin appears willing to absorb high attrition in a bid to outlast Kyiv, the sustained disproportionate equipment loss rate erodes its capacity to generate fresh, high‑quality formations for the decisive breakthroughs it still seeks. Since January 2024, Russia has traded vast quantities of equipment for mere meters of ground—a strategy that decisively falls short of Moscow’s objective to greatly expand its control of Ukrainian territory.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-battlefield-woes-ukraine
Civilian vehicles now account for 90 percent of the hundreds of vehicles the Russians lose in action every month. There are a lot of wrecked compact cars along the front line—enough for the Russians to begin cannibalizing the wreckage in order to build new compact cars.
https://daxe.substack.com/p/the-russians-have-lost-so-many-compact
I think probably because people are exhausted and scared and I guess when I stop and think about it I can understand that even as I am frustrated that I am being misunderstood.
People did not choose to be too exhausted and scared to genuinely listen to me, that was something done unto them by their environment and that is the thing that is the root driver of this, not people misunderstanding me in the moment. Every Russian bot troll spouting stupid hate reduces people’s capacity to engage with someone like me who at first might trigger a kneejerk categorization as one of those things. The conversation has been degraded on purpose.
…and so I will be patient and explain myself
Russia doesn’t have any significant reserves of armored vehicles with which to continue creating offensives, that is the hard truth for Russia. It does not mean Ukraine is not under serious threat, it means Russia cannot continue to push large offensives without utterly crashing out their economy and fighting force.
All of this hype about drones and motorbikes making tanks and armored vehicles obsolete is part of the lie trying to be sold to cover for the fact that Russia is trying to fight offensives without armored vehicles and they just can’t. It never works, it isn’t working and it won’t work drones don’t change that especially when the other side is better at drone tactics AND has armored fighting vehicles. Russia is condemning countless Russians and North Koreans to pointless brutal deaths at the hands of superior Ukranian tactics, and the PR coming out of it looks horrible for Russia most especially from an arms sales standpoint, which is a major driver of Russia’s political power along with their oil obviously.
Russia can’t keep slamming the few remaining armored vehicles they have into overwhelming defensive Ukranian positions and expect to continue to function as a country, it just won’t happen. They will have to find ways to terrorize Ukraine that involve acts of terrorism rather than outright mechanized manuever warfare, and they are and it must be very scary for Ukraine.
That doesn’t change the fact though that Russia is not in the strong position that the western media seems to think it is, independent of how Ukraine is doing.
I did not mean to portray this as an easy time for Ukraine, or that Russia doesn’t still pose a serious existential threat longer term to Ukraine… my point is that the western media is bought by rich people and Putin has those rich people for the most part on his side including my orange shit stain of a president, or at least putin has bought them off from directly attacking him too harshly… which has resulted in a picture being sold to people everyday in my country that Ukraine is about to collapse when Russia just blew through the vast majority of their armor reserves and are now trying to launch an offensive with no significant mechanized troops/armor to support it.
Russia also has lost a huge amount of artillery systems and Ukraine now has a domestic steady production of them.
Russia is far weaker than it looks here, which isn’t to say this isn’t a desperate junction for the lives of people living in Ukraine, this is a war, I understand that. Wars don’t pause for nice days and happy news…
Yes, this is what I was intending, the only part you missed was my general reluctance to engage in the worship of warfighting as I saw what it did to my country.
Look at my post and comment history, everything I have said is consistent with it, I am welcome to someone debating on the merits of my arguments (which in no way are pro russian or pro russian imperialism) but I bristle at being called a Russian plant because it reveals an intellectual laziness that is uninterested in my points that are decidedly, unambigously pro-Ukraine.
I don’t know what people’s primary languages are here, maybe my words are being lost in translation?
You misunderstand me, I support Ukraine, I just grew up in Iraq War era US and I know what happens to a culture when it sees the future mostly in terms of weapon systems and their capacity. It means I support Ukraine but I also understand how this system tends to evolve and that changes how I relate to it.
edit my point is that this is a quiet indicator that Ukraine is in a stronger position than the media usually portrays it in the western world, at least in my bubble. I believe Russia is foolish to continue the war because while Ukraine is suffering immensely it is also evolving while Russia is not and that will cost Russia dearly. Good.
Is this what it looks like when a country is losing a war? The moment before utter collapse looks like the nation’s defense industry maturing international partnerships and production lines in conjunction with other powerful countries on a mutually beneficial basis while being the focus of an arms development expo?
Damn, Ukraine I would surrender now if I were you.
/s
Also while I think Ukraine deserves to become a much larger focus for global military industrial arms development, also… this shit is a bad drug. It will kill you even as it makes you more powerful… but at this point I see this as a bigger threat to Ukraine than Russia decisively winning. This is just getting absurd how hard US mainstream media is trying to sell the idea that Ukraine is losing. I am not saying the outlook or current situation are great in the near term for Ukraine, but again I don’t think Ukraine would be developing mature arms production relationships specifically to share their expertise learned on the battlefield if Ukraine was losing the way the news always is trying to convince me it is…
They simply wouldn’t have the time, because war famously isn’t great about giving you spare time to pursue opportunities elsewhere in the world. If Russia was winning the way it needs to all aid flowing into Ukraine would just basically be flowing inwards, a one way street of more powerful, rested, experts providing materials and knowledge to an exhausted fighting force that doesn’t have the time to pursue new developments rather than keep hammering on the ones that are working at the frontline… this isn’t that relationship though, this is clearly a two way conversation which demonstrates a different power balance, one where Ukraine is much more powerful than the media keeps trying to portray it as. I am not saying Ukranians aren’t exhausted, I am saying they are exhausted AND.
If you don’t understand why I am proposing this other hypothetical possibility for Ukraine, understand I elucidate it because I believe it is the position that the US military industrial complex wanted Ukraine to be in, but Ukraine fought so hard despite being supported by shitty allies that weren’t actually real allies that it didn’t happen. The U.S. military industrial complex doesn’t want domestic arms productions in other countries with homegrown experts there who understand war without needing consultation and direct arms sales from US companies that have a monopoly in material and knowledge about how to produce the means for countries to effectively defend themselves.
“The uncrewed aerial system with a magnetometer attached to it moves along a predetermined trajectory over the area to be inspected. During the flight, the device continuously records the parameters of the Earth’s magnetic field in a 2 metre wide strip with their exact coordinates. This system can detect explosive ordnance not only on the surface of the soil but also underground.”
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/05/2/7510314/
This unfortunately doesn’t address all the chemical contamination of war, that is a burden among others that should be enough to make us all understand how catastrophic war is and that we shouldn’t engage in it since once you contaminate the ground and water beneath your feet you have foreclosed a future for people in that place no matter who they are.
However that caveat aside, very high resolution magnetometers mounted on UAVs have immense promise for locating mines. There is a LOT going on in these spaces, and the technology is evolving fast but there is a lot of hope here. ESPECIALLY if crews can start proactively flying drones over landscapes to survey them BEFORE they become mined so that in the aftermath a sweep with the same magnetometer would when compared against the original magnetometer sweep make the new additions of land mines stick out like a sore thumb… but even being used to map areas for the first time these are immensely useful life saving tools.
Mines are awful weapons, I don’t blame Ukraine for using them but that doesn’t negate how awful they are as weapon systems.
I think this technology will be fielded very fast and in great number even during the active war effort as there is no reason that important logistics routes couldn’t have magnetometer flights over them periodically to check and see if anything has been tampered with/mines have been placed to sabotage a logistics convoy.
If Ukraine is conducting an armored assault on the other hand in an area Russia has mined themselves… well it would sure as hell be cheaper to fly a magnetometer drone out in front of the tanks if the immediate enemy forces can be subdued enough to open a window… a tank costs a lot more than a magnetometer mounted drone… and is a lot harder to move to the front.
Or… better yet the magnetometer drone flies a route the night before the attack clandestinely with a magnetometer and maps out where the mines are so that very very very precise locations can be given to the armor to drive through the minefield with the least likelihood of hitting enemy mines. Pair one of these drones with a mine clearing tank and you can also start to get wayyy more efficiency out of your anti-mine clearing which could be absolutely critical while under fire.
Hopefully this will supercharge war recovery efforts with these tools as well. Ukraine is going to want to map a good portion of it’s landscape with very high resolution magnetometers for this very purpose among others.
Speaking to AFP, he said: “We are able to innovate and bring technology such as satellite imagery, drone imagery, all helping us just to drill down to identify where those pockets of concentration of landmines and explosive ordnance are.”
He describes analysts looking at drone and satellite images “pixel by pixel” to locate mines and employing AI algorithms to aid the search. Yet while enthused by such developments, Smith adds: “It’s not an industrial process yet.”
“We’re getting low-level benefits,” he adds. “But I think it is that area where we will continue to grow.”
I am not going to lie, I am bit surprised by this article in that it doesn’t mention this area of technology. The thing is, this isn’t just useful for clearing mines, this is a broadly useful technology being refined for many different things, and as such the innovation in this area will be fast and in many directions.
Here is another link to an article about it, I made another post in the Ukraine community with the url link as well because I thought it was interesting enough to make seperate post.
https://militarnyi.com/en/news/ukraine-develops-ai-drone-for-mine-detection/
That must be red tooth because those are old/long in the tooth and have undergone redshift over time as the universe has expanded during their travels.
sounds like crocodiles trying to give a false alibigator
sky traffic? wow so cool
Yes, but so long as during this vulnerable period Russia can’t decisively capitalize on Ukraine needing to find European and Global replacements for the immense amount of things the US military industrial complex provided, I think this will be better for Ukraine and perhaps the world at this point that other similarly highly effective anti-tank/armor/entrenched position MANPADs will have to be developed in conjunction with Ukraine. The fact that Russia hasn’t achieved decisive momentum in their spring offensive already does not bode well for Russia being able to capitalize on this vulnerable period for Ukraine well enough for it to strategically shift the tide of the war.
Also, I am not a soldier, and I am not living in Ukraine but for what it is worth I would trade all the javelins for having the 155mm self propelled artillery and ammunition Ukraine now has, yes it is very very very difficult to kill a modernized T90 tank with 155mm artillery shells, you can do it especially with the accuracy and coordination emphasized by the Paladin derived fire control systems in use in multiple Ukranian artillery systems now (somehow some of them managing to work together? how that must be such a technical headache oh my), but it isn’t easy.
However, and this is what people will always look past until they try it with their own tanks, sure you can advance the T90 tanks imperviously through even a fearsome artillery barrage, but what about the trucks carrying the spare parts for those tanks? What about the recovery vehicles for the ~30% of your tanks that will inveitably get stuck for the majority of the battle and need recovery while under non-lethal but sustained gunfire? The accompanying fleet of oil trucks for those tanks? What about the spotting crews and scout vehicles accompanying the tanks so they aren’t blind? What about the infantry support? The mechanized infantry in their apcs screening the armor and identifying and removing road blocks for the tanks? What about the staging of materials needed requiring at least a freight train’s worth of cargo to be hauled into the region? Are those all impervious to a 155mm shell?
What happens when the lead tanks loses a tread on a narrow road mined on either side and the whole column comes to a stop because there is no space to turn around? Sure the armor on the tank is rated thick enough to be impervious to all but highly lethal and specialized antitank artillery rounds, but what about the cameras, smokescreen launchers, sensors, communication, navigation, electronics warfare and jamming equipment everywhere all over the exposed exterior of that tank? Is all that equipment impervious to a 155mm artillery shell? Ok sure maybe all of it is, but what if you just rattle the whole thing violently OVER and OVER again with sustained apocalyptic 155mm artillery fire? Is all of that stuff realllllyyy gonna keep working and is the crew inside reallllllly going to stay calm and collected enough to effectively carry out their mission? No engineer can gurantee anything but an inert metal shell will survive that extreme level of artillery barrage for any length of time and if it does it is going to be extremely vulnerable to other types of direct fire AT weapons in the wake of it.
Sure the javelins will be missed, but the thing about US derived 155mm artillery systems is, they don’t tend to miss. Look up the stats and anecdotes on how precisely 155mm US artillery systems like the M109 Paladin can place a 155mm artillery shell and you start to realize that the concept of a secure emplacement becomes a very problematic one to answer. War necessarily becomes mobile and this places a tactically inept but numerically superior foe at a serious disadvantage if they try to manuever the same way they did when their opponent did not have the same artillery capacity.
The thing that needs to be understood about having on-call, precise 155mm artillery support distributed and generally available on the front is that everything is just a matter of time. No matter what the enemy does, how advantageous of a position they take on you, if you still have operational 155mm artillery on call all you need to know is where the enemy has decided to stop for 5 minutes and it is game over for them. Even if they are in heavy armor they will be so rattled, cut off from nearby infantry fleeing the artillery and bogged down from minor equipment failures that their intiatitive will be too seriously compromised to successfully complete the armored assault.
On the otherhand the difference between having on-call 155mm artillery support and on-call rocket artillery support is that you already used up your artillery batteries ammunition on critical targets two days ago and while their impact/threat is the only reason your forces are still in the fight, your 155mm artillery has been doing fire missions nearly non-stop the whole time and are still firing at all the targets you can give them (at one point they resorted to floating an artillery cannon down a river just to keep shooting at the enemy I have heard? That is the kind of obsessive work ethic artillery cannons have).
A general might look at the situation and say “more javelins, more rocket artillery!” but the logistics and artillery experts will rightfully point out “but for the equivalent cost in materials, manpower and time we could supply more 155mm shells than neither you nor the enemy can comprehend. Every single unit on the battlefield will have X amount of 155mm shells assigned personally to them that they can call down out of the sky if they so wish. How many would be enough to convince you to trade your javelin launcher in? 10? 20? 30? 100? 500? Wait how fast can you even reload your javelin? Okay so what I am offering you is 5 of these a minute and guess what you don’t even have to carry them with you to the battlefield…”…
https://militarnyi.com/en/news/ukraine-completed-tests-of-ukrainian-made-155-mm-shells/
Do you know what it is like when even a single basic HE 155mm shell lands quite close to you unexpectedly? I don’t and I don’t ever want to find out. Look at that persons hand and think about the fact that a cannon is launching that 10s of kms through the sky all the way to where a little itty bitty fpv drone hovering nearby indicated. Not just once in a fancy show of masculine technological military dominace, but with a loud, easy simplicity, angle… inclination… charge number OVER and OVER and OVER and OVER and OVER and OVER and OVER again…
This was an obsessive info dump/weird rant… but I do mean this seriously, it is clear that 155mm artillery for Ukraine must be making a massive difference for the infantry and warfighters on the frontline in Ukraine. The kind of ridiculous odds and incredibly intense assaults a small group of people fighting for their lives can survive with well trained and well coordinated 155mm support is absurd. It saves lives and it provies a meaningful psychological difference to the people risking their lives against the brunt of the Russian war machine to know they have consistent fire support like that. From a general’s standpoint you also don’t need “meat shields” to screen your high value high impact weapons when you have thorough 155mm artillery support because extremely threatening enemy movements can be restricted with artillery fire rather than waves of WW1 style infantry rushes or suicidal armored vehicle pushes into weapons that can easily defeat their armor. This isn’t to say that without artillery, generals will indiscriminately waste human lives, but rather that the most intense flashpoints of battles without artillery support become much more hellish, it is counter intuitive but it is brutally true. Things literally become a melee. A 155mm barrage creates that melee with just artillery shells and fools who think they can coexist with the artillery shells and continue their assault.
Further, while drones can absolutely deliver these types of munitions one has to also consider the pyschological trauma that is being endured by the soldiers operating those drones. I will not speak for them, but all I can say is I have no desire to watch the graphic FPV videos. That isn’t a judgement, it is a privilege that I don’t have to experience those things first hand and my point is that some people don’t have that privilege and artillery systems like the ones I am going on about provide a real mental health capacity to reduce the intense trauma that must come from killing person after person with a flying machine that you originally got into flying because of the fun creative possibilities you saw, not necessarily the raw violent potential it unlocked. That kind of killing can be reserved for more limited and decisive contexts instead of as a general mass assault on the minds of soldiers on both sides…
No, this is a critical shift in the war on many levels for Ukraine even with the US deflating like a toxic waste facility melting down into its own radioactive waste.
I don’t know much about Judaism but I wouldn’t be surprised if among Jewish philosophers, religious and spiritual thinkers and community activists that standing up against injustice especially if it is easy to ignore is a form of expressing your love of god/spiritual practice.
It is the same with all the actually legitimate teachings in all major religions (quantified crudely by number of practicioners and length of history the religion has been practiced), how could it be otherwise? We are all human beings after all.
sigh countless jews know this, what you are seeing is US colonialism using judaism as a toy to be violently discarded later, it is a tale as old as time, one that the conservative authoritarian elements of spiritual movements always fall for like it is catnip.
Mamdani just makes it painfully obvious this is the game pretend conservatives hiding as religious leaders always ALWAYS play.
how about a vodkipe cottlerack puppet?
wonder if I could seduce your mom that way
Definitely scary, but they have failed to launch an offensive now of any real momentum this spring, what will change in the medium term? Russia essentially demechanized its army by blasting through most of its armor. It is building up T90 tanks, but that is a longer term process.
What I think we will see are drone attacks meant to evoke mass media coverage without Russia being able to gather serious momentum in an organized armored offensive at least at a broad level.
Most people who are for bluesky don’t even care about an open internet or whatever, they just want their protocol to win or whatever.
yes