• 242 Posts
  • 2.43K Comments
Joined 2 years ago
cake
Cake day: December 9th, 2023

help-circle
  • Seriously, the IDF is hardly a professional military at this point, in most ways it is simply a formalized institution for ethnic cleansing using expensive military equipment they are given as handouts by the US military.

    The IDF does not even follow basic rules of engagement, they see a civilian, have impulse feelings about it and then shoot. No threat analysis, no consideration over whether lethal force is necessary by a chain of command and absolutely NO accountability for blatant horrific war crimes. The IDF is not a military, it is a bunch of murderers wearing military fatigues.






  • Ukraine gaining approximate artillery parity, depletion of Russian armor and Ukrainian deep strike efforts becomingly increasingly devastating to Russian logistics as Russian air defenses/radar are obliterated leaving gaping holes into fragile parts of Russia’s war machine in the wake of their destruction (Russia is failing to replace destroyed radar, they don’t have the production nor maintenence capability too). The point I identify was somewhere in late summer when it became clear the Russian summer offensive was failing to do anything but take tiny amounts of territory in exchange for shocking losses.

    Further Russia is transitioning to indiscriminate flying bomb attacks on civilians which is itself a blatant sign Russia feels it looks too weak on the actual battlefield to project strength and inevitability.







  • Big reasons are Trump needs a distraction from Epstein and horrendous economy and Russia’s military is falling apart.

    Russia still hasn’t taken Pokrovsk and the professional core to the Russian military has been obliterated by brutal attrition. All Putin has accomplished is to prove to the world Russia is no longer a military superpower.

    This is the best moment Russia will get, the longer they fight the more they will lose, and the losses will be increasingly catastrophic for Russia.





  • FYI: The reason this is relevant is that Airbus makes large cargo aircraft and the future of tactical nuclear warfare and large precision guided munitions in general is unquestionably palletized air launch systems like the Rapid Dragon “Palletized Effects” system. The US demonstrated this capability with a cruise missile in Europe in 2022, and it is highly likely this capability is being developed or at least seriously considered by a large amount of militaries all over the world. The degradation of the media in talking intelligently about defense is frustrating as it is clear to me what the Airbus CEO is saying and why their opinion is strategically relevant in this context but this is not spelled out for the average person at all. To make my point clear, the Airbus CEO represents one of the largest tactical nuclear launch platform producers in the world given the massive capability of Airbus to create large cargo and airlift aircraft, that is why the CEO of an airline airplane company is actually strategically right in the center of future tactical, nuclear and long range precision strike capability.

    This is what the future of nuclear launch platforms in large part looks like, cargo aircraft such as the Airbus A400M Atlas

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airbus_A400M_Atlas

    What frustrates me about this so much is that this is a serious conversation people should be having outside of military defense circles and the basic failure of the media to report on this kind of use of cargo airplanes makes the entire conversation around this opaque to citizens of nations all over the world that otherwise might have opinions on the specifics of nuclear arms capability and procurement.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Dragon_(missile_system)

    https://www.dvidshub.net/video/863901/afsoc-conducts-live-fire-exercise-with-rapid-dragon

    https://www.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/3216532/afsoc-conducts-live-fire-exercise-with-rapid-dragon/

    A Rapid Dragon-like nuclear delivery system also has potential impact on nuclear relations with NATO and other potential regional allies. Since most—perhaps even all—of the principal alliance members and potential allies have cargo aircraft, the United States could consider a NATO-like sharing agreement under which, in times of crisis, palletized nuclear systems could be loaded (perhaps with a US-controlled security and launch team) on non-US aircraft. In contrast to the current system, which requires potential non-US nuclear users to have nuclear trained pilots and qualified delivery aircraft, a palletized system would require little to no additional training or cost for the host/user nation. In the long run, such palletized systems might be seen as superior to the current NATO system of pre-positioned nuclear gravity bombs.

    The potential for nuclear launch from cargo aircraft creates new tactical problems that could affect survivability and deterrence concepts. Wide dispersal of potential palletized nuclear weapons in time of crisis is somewhat akin to the problems that mobile launchers for missile systems create for an adversary. How can an aggressor locate enough of the potential weapons and launch vehicles to ensure the success of a first strike, and how survivable are the possible cargo aircraft to ensure the viability of a retaliatory strike?

    Rapid Dragon will be a game-changing concept for conventional and, possibly, nuclear weapons use, now for the United States and its allies, but in the future for potential US adversaries. The Rapid Dragon development is somewhat reminiscent of England’s introduction of the Dreadnaught, a type of battleship that made the rest of its large fleet obsolescent and allowed other nations to compete with England in building modern battleships. Rapid Dragon appears to be a similarly game-changing development for the United States and its allies but will need to be carefully monitored to ensure that the advantage it creates is maintained. Similarly, the nuclear potential for Rapid Dragon-like systems will need to be tracked, arms limitation strategies for such systems developed, and the potential increase in threat potentials and/or new threat vectors defined as counterstrategies are conceived.[7]

    ^ https://thebulletin.org/2023/08/rapid-dragon-the-us-military-game-changer-that-could-affect-conventional-and-nuclear-strategy-and-arms-control-negotiations/



  • This is the thing that worries me as someone living in the US, why the hell would the global financial system still trust the US? It doesn’t matter if Trump gets thrown out and a democrat wins and centrists implement measly reforms that only paper over the wound blah blah blah… from the rest of the world’s perspective who is to say fascists/rightwing extremists in this country won’t try to collapse everything again in another 4 years?

    Centrists and rightwing people are living life in a complete daze in the US thinking that trust doesn’t have any bearing on whether the US hurtles into a depression or not, it is very unnerving and exhausting to be immersed in.