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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: October 23rd, 2024

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  • The question is whether government/people should get $60/barrel revenue before expenses, maybe $40/barrel after expenses, or $10/barrel but pump 5-10x as much, bribed to be loyal to US. Long term, obviously no corruption and high revenue/profit per barrel has its advantages. It’s not as though Exxon/Chevron can’t get access to Venezuela oil with fair deals, it’s that pretending corrupt puppets are the legitimate leaders provides extortion oil costs.

    When you understand the hoops the US government is willing to jump through to get cheap foreign oil, you should understand that similar policies are used to deprive Americans of their fair share of resource revenue.





  • I don’t believe this, because it is too stupid. 2026 demand forecasts for HBM I don’t believe will materialize, as customers can’t pay those crazy RAM prices either, OpenAI can’t pay for all of their promises, demand isn’t high enough for the planned data centers, and power and labour constraints.

    I don’t believe it because Micron is a brand that has value premium to it. Even if they just keep charging extortionist prices while HBM demand fantasy remains propagandized, there will eventually be worthwhile consumer demand for RAM, right? Killing the division and firing everyone in it, is Micron saying “making too much money from HBM must forever put all eggs in HBM basket”



  • You want 2-3 phones instead of a folding phone. Light pocketable phone for actual mobile purposes. Can get a data only esim phone with voip to supplement voice/text phone, and have independent enabled data. independent charging. Backup when broken/lost phone. I suggest:

    1-2 lightweight phones for mobility.
    1 large possibly rugged phone for video or rugged adventures. Can be steam deck on a stand that is better setup as a dashboard. email + web tickers/discord. samsung and other phones also have a “desktop multiwindow mode”
    3rd phones, can help with having 2 separate phones act as bluetooth keyboard and trackpad. Keep banking/secret stuff seperate/more secure during travel. Keep one in a locked tilt/swivel stand near bed most of the time. mod to alternate os.

    2 or 3 phones is much more storage/ram and audio quality than including a tablet, with better portability options in both packing and daily use. It’s also much less $, and can leapfrog upgrades.


  • There is no magic conclusion that can be made from “they are just token prediction machines”. There are reasoning and search agents and other tools that can improve the final right answer token prediction. There are other ML tools and hardware innovations to make them faster, and so “think longer” before giving an answer.

    These tools are likely to keep improving their “correct answer rates”, without ever achieving a “0 dumb error rate”




  • First, fusion has 0 theoretical economic potential, but there is some potential for energy gains from 2250* + steam. Water deconstructs above this temperature into powerful HHO gas, that when ignited gains another 2500* that will chain react with higher pressure steam to make the steam even hotter/higher pressure. Minor problem of melting all known turbine material, is avoidable through just higher volume of pressured steam.










  • If you ever stream cable news in the background during business hours. experts will come on to tell you that if the US doesn’t bankrupt itself, then Russia or China wins. The only remaining hope for US economy seems to be to beat China at AI, because it can’t beat it at anything else. So, all the money for military, and AI to help military make Skynet, which will mostly be used to ensure establishment can control/kill Americans who don’t support Skynet for Israel supremacist rule over the US, is simply a continuation of the tautology of “all US money for militarist US establishment control over all of you”, but with more efficient AI.