Russia has capacity for a limited attack against NATO territory at any time but a decision to act would depend on the Western allies’ posture, a top German military official warned.
“If you look at Russia’s current capabilities and combat power, Russia could kick off a small-scale attack against NATO territory as early as tomorrow,” Lieutenant General Alexander Sollfrank told Reuters in an interview.
“Small, quick, regionally limited, nothing big - Russia is too tied down in Ukraine for that.”


I disagree.
I think Russia has a good chance at cutting the Suwalki gap, occupying the Baltics, and presenting NATO a fait accompli. Exactly the scenario that NATO has been afraid of prior to 2022.