cross-posted from: https://lemmy.sdf.org/post/41383616
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“I believe nothing will happen at the SCO summit or during Putin’s four-day visit to the Shanghai forum, which will include Modi and others. In my view, nothing will occur. Putin is certainly going to talk with Xi Jinping, with the main topics being the war in Ukraine, relations with the U.S., and how to protect his interests in this situation.
Xi will consider Putin’s arguments in light of China’s own interests: China wants the war to continue until it is offered something that interests it, at which point it would intervene in the negotiations to stop the war. What could that be? Only Taiwan. Everything else is less important and can be resolved through bilateral negotiations: the tariff war with the U.S., trade issues, raw materials, waiving secondary sanctions on Beijing - these are all bilateral matters that Moscow is not needed for; Beijing can handle them on its own,” said [Russian opposition politician] Mark Feygin.
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In his view, the Taiwan issue cannot be resolved by China alone, because the U.S. and its allies will not agree to hand over Taiwan or reintegrate it into mainland China.
“And here China wants to use the war in Europe to achieve this, and that is its main goal. Everything else — economic issues — is secondary; this is geostrategic, geopolitical, and historical. For China and Xi Jinping, reintegration is the key issue. So far, there are no signs that this could be imminent. Therefore, China has no motive to make sudden moves.
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