• 13igTyme@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Buddy, there’s nothing to debate. The “people I know” is in reference to the post election surveys. Something most people don’t participate in. Something your own quote says only 50% of those selected agreed to participate. It’s also not something I’m arguing, but you are choosing as a red herring.

    It literally says, “Note Validated voters are citizens who said they voted in a post-election survey and were found to have voted in commercial voter files.”

    #IT LITERALLY SAYS POST-ELECTION SURVEY

    You even quoted a section saying, “Panelist participate via self-administered web surveys”

    #IT LITERALLY SAYS SELF-ADMINISTERED

    How fucking stupid are you that you prove my point when trying to pull a gotcha?

    Furthermore, the Pew Research Center is not iron clad and immune to selection bias. They continue to recruit people for the panel and those interested participate, then they recruit more later. This goes back to me saying, “those interested in participating, vote more often.” Plus there is the caveat of surveys. Which are, at best, unreliable. If you understood anything about research, you would know that surveys are always carefully measured in terms of meaningfulness. People lie or misrepresent things ALL THE TIME.

    #THIS IS VERY CLEARLY 100% SELECTION BIAS

    You also can’t make a board sweeping generalization about Democrats not voting because many were vocal about it. You know what Progressives were vocal about, NOT VOTING. You’re even currently arguing with someone else about how not voting is somehow doing something positive. Like holy fuck. Every day I meet more and more fucking morons.

    • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Oh my God, please sit down, you walking Dunning-Kruger. Clearly the quotes were over your head, so I’m going to explain it using smaller words.

      So, you’re looking at very small quote from a single graph that says, “Note Validated voters are citizens who said they voted in a post-election survey and were found to have voted in commercial voter files.” You think that means that this survey is conducted exclusively by people who just voted, but it’s not. It’s just explaining to you how they verified that people, who were already randomly selected for the survey, actually voted.

      How these people were actually selected was described in my first quote, but since it went over your head, I’ll rephrase it for you; the respondents were randomly selected through a random sampling of phone numbers, both landline and cell. 50% of those people asked if they’d like to be included in the survey said yes, which was about 10,000 people. This took place between July 8th and July 18th of 2021.

      I know it said, “self-administered,” at one point, and that was very confusing for you, but that isn’t describing how people were selected for the survey, it’s describing how they took the survey. They self-administered it online, but it was still sent out by Pew to randomly pre-selected candidates, not anyone who wanted to take it. Do you get it now?

      So, just to be 100% clear, so you don’t get confused anymore, between July 8th and July 18th of 2021, Pew Research Center selected about 10,000 randomly selected Americans for a survey. They then self-administered that survey through a website shared with them by the Pew Research Center. They were asked about their votes in the last election, and while that information was self-reported, it was also independently verified with voter databases to ensure it was true. There are literally 2 Appendices of information attached to this survey that explain all of this.

      So, A) no, this is not a selection problem, you just don’t understand the selection process, and B) if it seems like everyone else is a, “fucking moron,” well, I’ve actually got a theory on why that is.