Global power doesn’t tend to be a peaceful transition though. If China does make a play to become the dominant force by then, it’s bad news for everyone living right now.
There are benefits China has that will go away as they transition, which could also cause them to stumble. No longer being considered a developing nation, any poverty will be 100% on them to fix, international agreements will expect them to contribute instead of receiving, emissions will be more heavily scrutinized. Other countries will not be a tolerant about the rampant IP theft and extreme protectionism of their domestic markets.
No longer being considered a developing nation, any poverty will be 100% on them to fix, international agreements will expect them to contribute instead of receiving,
I could be wrong, but it seems like they are already to this point.
emissions will be more heavily scrutinized. Other countries will not be a tolerant about the rampant IP theft and extreme protectionism of their domestic markets.
I think this falls into the realm of “what are they going to do about” the only power block that cares about those ip’s are the na-eu group, which after the play for global dominance will become a rounding error to them. The emissions may bite them, but it won’t be from other nations, I have no doubt they’ll keep polluting until the problems actually manifest, basically every unchecked government in history doesn’t play proactively when it comes to environmental issues.
China is slowly transitioning from a developing country, but it’s a slow process as new agreements are signed and old ones expire.
NA and EU wouldn’t be a rounding error, China wouldn’t magically be more powerful than everyone else combined. The EU can already make the US and it’s companies make concessions, that wouldn’t change with China replacing the US.
As far as emissions China already hit the point they couldn’t ignore it. That’s why they are rolling out so much solar and nuclear, the Internet being flooded with pictures of absurdly bad smog already forced that issue.
Global power doesn’t tend to be a peaceful transition though. If China does make a play to become the dominant force by then, it’s bad news for everyone living right now.
There are benefits China has that will go away as they transition, which could also cause them to stumble. No longer being considered a developing nation, any poverty will be 100% on them to fix, international agreements will expect them to contribute instead of receiving, emissions will be more heavily scrutinized. Other countries will not be a tolerant about the rampant IP theft and extreme protectionism of their domestic markets.
I could be wrong, but it seems like they are already to this point.
I think this falls into the realm of “what are they going to do about” the only power block that cares about those ip’s are the na-eu group, which after the play for global dominance will become a rounding error to them. The emissions may bite them, but it won’t be from other nations, I have no doubt they’ll keep polluting until the problems actually manifest, basically every unchecked government in history doesn’t play proactively when it comes to environmental issues.
China is slowly transitioning from a developing country, but it’s a slow process as new agreements are signed and old ones expire.
NA and EU wouldn’t be a rounding error, China wouldn’t magically be more powerful than everyone else combined. The EU can already make the US and it’s companies make concessions, that wouldn’t change with China replacing the US.
As far as emissions China already hit the point they couldn’t ignore it. That’s why they are rolling out so much solar and nuclear, the Internet being flooded with pictures of absurdly bad smog already forced that issue.