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Joined 2 年前
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Cake day: 2023年8月9日

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  • Yeah, this stuff takes time to work out. As long as the side effects aren’t a big deal, they might err on the side of too much.

    Covid vaccines were something of an exception because they were motivated and infections were widespread. Lots of chances to get good data. Treatments for other diseases don’t have those advantages.

    The HPV vax, for example, was released in 2016 on a three dose schedule. There’s some studies out there that argue two doses would be plenty, but it’s not a consensus, either. That’s after almost a decade.

    PrEP is already keeping HIV infection rates pretty low, at least in rich countries where there’s money to do these studies. Not going to be good data on dose schedules for many, many years. Maybe even decades.


  • They may have been a foundation to build on, but they largely failed in their goals. There was a sudden surge in cities proposing budgets that defunded the police. Once the sausage making process was done, those budgets largely reflected the status quo.

    The best you can say about its direct practical effect is that Chauvin was convicted. I do think we’re seeing more cases of abusive cops actually being prosecuted for misconduct, or at a minimum, losing their job.

    It’s still taking some effort to even get that, though. I just ran across a case in my YouTube feed, where a civil rights lawyer with a channel brought attention to a case. This had happened months ago, but all the sudden, the prosecutor dropped the charges and the cop was fired. If it weren’t for it blowing up on YouTube, that probably wouldn’t have happened. There’s almost certainly thousands of stories like it in process right now that aren’t getting that attention.

    Oh, and we got Juneteenth added as a day off. I guess that’s nice. Except some companies have already dropped it from their holiday list (mine did).
















  • Pascal’s Wager, as well as other “logical proofs” for God like the Kalam Cosmological Argument, never get Christians or other religious people anywhere they want to go. Even if we accept their conclusions as given, it tells us nothing about the nature of that god. They want their god to be the one, and that doesn’t follow from any of these. Which is what the comic in OP is getting at.

    As far as the conclusions go, worshiping the Flying Spaghetti Monster is as good as any.


  • It’s tricky to estimate things. If you take footage from drones or helicopters, how many people will be hidden behind trees? There are ways to guess, but those come with assumptions that can give you very different numbers. Local organizers, police, and the media can all come to different numbers with perfectly reasonable differences in assumptions or techniques.

    This should be kept in mind for any big outdoor event where there’s no specific entry points to count people going by. Affects Trump’s parade, too.