It doesn’t look like the centre left is gaining anything real in these numbers, and NZ First’s fall is Act’s gains

Kiwipolls has Opportunity at 6.7% in their model. Up from 5.9% before this latest poll result. Looking very positive.

Note: I am not affiliated with Kiwipolls in any way. I just like their rolling poll of polls; I also appreciate the explainer on their model.

Let’s go TOP! 3 times already I’ve voted for you and this next one’s looking promising for once.

They assume TPM will keep all their electorates in these polls, and I just don’t think that will happen.